tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Providence → Baltimore via Orlando: arrives on time 36%

  1. 18:35 PVD → 21:30 MCO
    WN 284 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 31% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:55 MCO → 01:15 BWI +1 day
    WN 160 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 81% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 40mPVD 18:35 to BWI 01:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.