tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Oakland via Ontario: arrives on time 75%

  1. 11:45 MDW → 13:50 ONT
    WN 2846 · Southwest · 4h 05m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Ontario (ONT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 ONT → 17:15 OAK
    WN 3155 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 30mMDW 11:45 to OAK 17:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.