tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Las Vegas via Phoenix: arrives on time 90%

  1. 05:20 MDW → 06:55 PHX
    WN 2858 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 29m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:24 PHX → 11:37 LAS
    AA 2037 · American · 1h 13m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 119 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 29m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 17mMDW 05:20 to LAS 11:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.