tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Des Moines via Phoenix: arrives on time 73%

  1. 05:20 MDW → 06:55 PHX
    WN 2858 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 49m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:44 PHX → 13:44 DSM
    AA 2516 · American · 2h 51m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 49m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 15mMDW 05:20 to DSM 13:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.