tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Seattle via Phoenix: arrives on time 87%

  1. 05:20 MDW → 06:55 PHX
    WN 2858 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:20 PHX → 12:35 SEA
    DL 2374 · Delta · 3h 15m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip9h 15mMDW 05:20 to SEA 12:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.