tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 75%

  1. 05:20 MDW → 06:55 PHX
    WN 2858 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:55 PHX → 09:20 LAX
    WN 2427 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 00mMDW 05:20 to LAX 09:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.