tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Boise via Phoenix: arrives on time 52%

  1. 18:35 MDW → 20:15 PHX
    WN 2862 · Southwest · 3h 40m · 43% on time, 6.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 PHX → 01:48 BOI +1 day
    WN 2554 · Southwest · 2h 02m · 60% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (6.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip8h 12mMDW 18:35 to BOI 01:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.