Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Chicago → Santa Ana via Phoenix: arrives on time 30%
-
18:35 MDW → 20:15 PHXWN 2862 · Southwest · 3h 40m · 43% on time, 6.0% cancelled
-
55m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
-
21:10 PHX → 22:25 SNAWN 4107 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection41%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 59% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (6.0% are) × connection made (41%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 50mMDW 18:35 to SNA 22:25, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.