tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Las Vegas via Minneapolis: arrives on time 83%

  1. 10:15 MDW → 11:45 MSP
    WN 2869 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:51 MSP → 16:10 LAS
    DL 1542 · Delta · 3h 19m · 86% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 55mMDW 10:15 to LAS 16:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.