tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Memphis via Minneapolis: arrives on time 76%

  1. 10:15 MDW → 11:45 MSP
    WN 2869 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 00m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:45 MSP → 17:59 MEM
    DL 4063 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 14m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 4h 00m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 44mMDW 10:15 to MEM 17:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.