tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Phoenix via Long Beach: arrives on time 56%

  1. 17:40 RNO → 19:10 LGB
    WN 2876 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Long Beach (LGB) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 LGB → 21:50 PHX
    WN 2494 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 10mRNO 17:40 to PHX 21:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.