tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Minneapolis via Sacramento: arrives on time 96%

  1. 07:45 PHX → 09:45 SMF
    WN 2885 · Southwest · 1h 58m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 36m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:21 SMF → 18:49 MSP
    DL 1701 · Delta · 3h 28m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 36m layover.
Arrives on time96%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip9h 04mPHX 07:45 to MSP 18:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.