tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Las Vegas via Sacramento: arrives on time 88%

  1. 07:45 PHX → 09:45 SMF
    WN 2885 · Southwest · 1h 58m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:50 SMF → 12:20 LAS
    WN 1285 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip4h 35mPHX 07:45 to LAS 12:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.