tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Seattle via Sacramento: arrives on time 55%

  1. 07:45 PHX → 09:45 SMF
    WN 2885 · Southwest · 1h 58m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 SMF → 12:55 SEA
    WN 1739 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip5h 10mPHX 07:45 to SEA 12:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.