tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Houston via Sacramento: arrives on time 68%

  1. 07:45 PHX → 09:45 SMF
    WN 2885 · Southwest · 1h 58m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 SMF → 16:45 HOU
    WN 3782 · Southwest · 3h 45m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 00mPHX 07:45 to HOU 16:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.