tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Kansas City via Denver: arrives on time 14%

  1. 17:15 AUS → 18:45 DEN
    WN 290 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:35 DEN → 22:15 MCI
    WN 1589 · Southwest · 1h 42m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection40%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 60% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (40%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip5h 02mAUS 17:15 to MCI 22:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.