tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Orlando via Denver: arrives on time 24%

  1. 17:15 AUS → 18:45 DEN
    WN 290 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 DEN → 01:38 MCO +1 day
    WN 1596 · Southwest · 3h 52m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip7h 22mAUS 17:15 to MCO 01:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.