tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Tulsa via Denver: arrives on time 25%

  1. 17:15 AUS → 18:45 DEN
    WN 290 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 DEN → 22:35 TUL
    WN 1764 · Southwest · 1h 42m · 46% on time, 9.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (9.8% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip5h 22mAUS 17:15 to TUL 22:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.