tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sarasota/Bradenton via St Louis: arrives on time 61%

  1. 10:32 MDW → 11:45 STL
    WN 2901 · Southwest · 1h 12m · 75% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 STL → 18:20 SRQ
    WN 4913 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sarasota/Bradenton is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 48mMDW 10:32 to SRQ 18:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.