tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Panama City Beach via St Louis: arrives on time 60%

  1. 13:00 MDW → 14:10 STL
    WN 2902 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 78% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:55 STL → 17:40 ECP
    WN 4988 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip4h 40mMDW 13:00 to ECP 17:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.