tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Newark via Tampa: arrives on time 86%

  1. 05:00 MDW → 08:25 TPA
    WN 2906 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:57 TPA → 13:48 EWR
    UA 2858 · United · 2h 51m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 62 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 48mMDW 05:00 to EWR 13:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.