tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Las Vegas via Tampa: arrives on time 84%

  1. 05:00 MDW → 08:25 TPA
    WN 2906 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 TPA → 12:10 LAS
    WN 1809 · Southwest · 4h 40m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip9h 10mMDW 05:00 to LAS 12:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.