tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Phoenix via Tampa: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:00 MDW → 08:25 TPA
    WN 2906 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:40 TPA → 13:00 PHX
    WN 4040 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip10h 00mMDW 05:00 to PHX 13:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.