tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Louisville via Tampa: arrives on time 75%

  1. 05:00 MDW → 08:25 TPA
    WN 2906 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:20 TPA → 11:25 SDF
    WN 4466 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 25mMDW 05:00 to SDF 11:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.