tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Raleigh/Durham via Tampa: arrives on time 79%

  1. 05:00 MDW → 08:25 TPA
    WN 2906 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 50m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 TPA → 12:05 RDU
    WN 4605 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 50m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 05mMDW 05:00 to RDU 12:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.