tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 05:15 MEM → 06:50 MDW
    WN 2916 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:55 MDW → 10:05 DTW
    WN 1775 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip3h 50mMEM 05:15 to DTW 10:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.