tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 05:15 MEM → 06:50 MDW
    WN 2916 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:15 MDW → 11:10 DCA
    WN 2569 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip4h 55mMEM 05:15 to DCA 11:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.