tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Manchester → Washington via Orlando: arrives on time 42%

  1. 12:30 MHT → 15:35 MCO
    WN 2919 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:40 MCO → 19:59 DCA
    B6 2424 · JetBlue · 2h 19m · 55% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip7h 29mMHT 12:30 to DCA 19:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.