tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Manchester → Baltimore via Orlando: arrives on time 52%

  1. 12:30 MHT → 15:35 MCO
    WN 2919 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 29m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:04 MCO → 20:35 BWI
    F9 4004 · Frontier · 2h 30m · 57% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 59 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 29m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip8h 04mMHT 12:30 to BWI 20:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.