tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Manchester → Chicago via Orlando: arrives on time 47%

  1. 12:30 MHT → 15:35 MCO
    WN 2919 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 MCO → 20:10 MDW
    WN 2659 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 51% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Manchester). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip8h 40mMHT 12:30 to MDW 20:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.