tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Atlanta via St Louis: arrives on time 30%

  1. 17:25 DAL → 19:10 STL
    WN 2921 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 STL → 22:40 ATL
    WN 3883 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection42%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 58% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (42%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 15mDAL 17:25 to ATL 22:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.