tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Tampa via St Louis: arrives on time 19%

  1. 17:25 DAL → 19:10 STL
    WN 2921 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 STL → 23:18 TPA
    WN 4619 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection36%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 64% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (36%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip4h 55mDAL 17:25 to TPA 23:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.