tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Dallas via Nashville: arrives on time 50%

  1. 11:40 MIA → 13:00 BNA
    WN 2922 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:25 BNA → 17:20 DAL
    WN 489 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip6h 40mMIA 11:40 to DAL 17:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.