tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Tulsa via Denver: arrives on time 16%

  1. 16:20 MIA → 18:40 DEN
    WN 2926 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 25% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 DEN → 22:35 TUL
    WN 1764 · Southwest · 1h 42m · 46% on time, 9.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (9.8% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip7h 17mMIA 16:20 to TUL 22:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.