tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Chicago via Houston: arrives on time 74%

  1. 05:10 MIA → 06:45 HOU
    WN 2927 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:10 HOU → 10:40 MDW
    WN 1294 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 30mMIA 05:10 to MDW 10:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.