tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Oakland via Houston: arrives on time 67%

  1. 05:10 MIA → 06:45 HOU
    WN 2927 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:35 HOU → 09:30 OAK
    WN 2056 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 3 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip7h 20mMIA 05:10 to OAK 09:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.