tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → San Jose via Chicago: arrives on time 35%

  1. 15:15 MIA → 17:25 MDW
    WN 2930 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:50 MDW → 23:30 SJC
    WN 2659 · Southwest · 4h 35m · 38% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 11h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (38%).
Total trip11h 10mMIA 15:15 to SJC 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.