tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Hebron via Chicago: arrives on time 37%

  1. 15:15 MIA → 17:25 MDW
    WN 2930 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 MDW → 21:08 CVG
    WN 2756 · Southwest · 1h 12m · 54% on time, 8.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (8.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip5h 52mMIA 15:15 to CVG 21:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.