tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Raleigh/Durham via St Louis: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:15 MIA → 09:05 STL
    WN 2931 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:55 STL → 12:45 RDU
    WN 297 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 30mMIA 07:15 to RDU 12:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.