tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Oakland via Denver: arrives on time 28%

  1. 19:30 AUS → 21:05 DEN
    WN 294 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 71% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:10 DEN → 23:45 OAK
    WN 1650 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 39% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (39%).
Total trip6h 15mAUS 19:30 to OAK 23:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.