tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → Baltimore via Chicago: arrives on time 27%

  1. 17:15 MKE → 18:05 MDW
    WN 2953 · Southwest · 50m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 MDW → 21:55 BWI
    WN 2745 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 66% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 3h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of Milwaukee). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip3h 40mMKE 17:15 to BWI 21:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.