tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → Seattle via Chicago: arrives on time 55%

  1. 17:15 MKE → 18:05 MDW
    WN 2953 · Southwest · 50m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 MDW → 00:30 SEA +1 day
    WN 4144 · Southwest · 4h 30m · 57% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Milwaukee). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 190 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip9h 15mMKE 17:15 to SEA 00:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.