tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Jacksonville via Nashville: arrives on time 61%

  1. 07:15 MDW → 08:40 BNA
    WN 2959 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 70% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 BNA → 12:35 JAX
    WN 541 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip4h 20mMDW 07:15 to JAX 12:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.