tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Miami via Nashville: arrives on time 53%

  1. 07:15 MDW → 08:40 BNA
    WN 2959 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 70% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:30 BNA → 14:50 MIA
    WN 581 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip6h 30mMDW 07:15 to MIA 14:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.