tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Tampa via Nashville: arrives on time 72%

  1. 07:15 MDW → 08:40 BNA
    WN 2959 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 70% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:50 BNA → 14:40 TPA
    WN 684 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 74% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 25mMDW 07:15 to TPA 14:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.