tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Raleigh/Durham via Nashville: arrives on time 85%

  1. 07:15 MDW → 08:40 BNA
    WN 2959 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 70% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:00 BNA → 14:42 RDU
    AA 4639 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 43m · 89% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 28mMDW 07:15 to RDU 14:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.