tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → El Paso via Dallas: arrives on time 34%

  1. 18:25 MDW → 20:40 DAL
    WN 2961 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 58% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 DAL → 22:35 ELP
    WN 3373 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 54% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip5h 05mMDW 18:25 to ELP 22:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.