tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → New York via Nashville: arrives on time 34%

  1. 16:00 MSP → 18:00 BNA
    WN 2962 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 BNA → 23:25 LGA
    WN 2144 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 39% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (39%).
Total trip6h 25mMSP 16:00 to LGA 23:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.