tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Tampa via Nashville: arrives on time 70%

  1. 16:00 MSP → 18:00 BNA
    WN 2962 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 BNA → 00:18 TPA +1 day
    WN 2173 · Southwest · 1h 52m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 17mMSP 16:00 to TPA 00:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.