tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Myrtle Beach via Nashville: arrives on time 6%

  1. 16:00 MSP → 18:00 BNA
    WN 2962 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 BNA → 21:20 MYR
    WN 603 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Myrtle Beach is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection10%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 90% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time6%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (10%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip4h 20mMSP 16:00 to MYR 21:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.